Report Card for 2010

The final 2010 S-Factor correctly predicted 61 of the 64 teams that made it into the women's NCAA championship tournament. Other results are listed below, along with the comparison to other ranking methodologies and human-produced bracket predictions (in italics).

Legend:
RPI = Rating Percentage Index. Compiled by Jerry Palm.
Sagarin = Jeff Sagarin ratings; a synthesis of the ELO CHESS and PURE POINTS models. Compiled by Jim Sukup.
Sg ELO C = Jeff Sagarin's ELO CHESS model.
Sg PP = Jeff Sagarin's PURE POINTS model.
Massey = Kenneth Massey's rankings
WDC(O) = Women's Dance Card (original), compiled by M. Dale
WDC(M) = Women's Dance Card (modified), compiled by M. Dale
Wobus = John Wobus's rankings
KRACH = Bradley-Terry style rankings based on Ken Butler's "Ken's Ratings for American College Hockey," or KRACH. Compiled by John Wobus
AP Poll = taking the top 24 of the 25-team AP Poll and seeding them 1-6.
Coaches' = Same as above, with the Coaches' Poll.

Brackets:
Palm - Jerry Palm of Collegerpi.com
Creme - Charlie Creme, resident womens' bracketologist for ESPN
labcoatguy - My bracket prediction, published on hoopscoop.net here
Fennelly - Billy Fennelly, son of Iowa State coach Bill Fennelly, found here


No. of teams predicted (max=64)

1. WDC(O).....62 (96.9%)
1. WDC(M).....62 (96.9%)
1. Wobus......62 (96.9%)
1. KRACH......62 (96.9%)
1. Creme......62 (96.9%)
1. Palm.......62 (96.9%)
1. Fennelly...62 (96.2%)
1. labcoatguy.62 (96.2%)
9. S-Factor...61 (95.3%)
9. RPI........61 (95.3%)
9. Massey.....61 (95.3%)
12.Sagarin....60 (93.8%)
12.Sg ELO C...60 (93.8%)
14.Sg PP......58 (90.6%)

Correctly seeded (entire field)(max=64)

1. Creme......38 (59.3%)
2. RPI........33 (51.6%)
3. S-Factor...31 (48.4%)
4. WDC(M).....30 (46.9%)
4. labcoatguy.30 (46.9%)
6. WDC(O).....26 (40.6%)
7. Wobus......25 (39.1%)
7. Palm.......25 (39.1%)
9. KRACH......24 (37.5%)
10.Sagarin....23 (35.9%)
11.Fennelly...21 (32.8%)
12.Massey.....20 (31.3%)
13.Sg ELO C...16 (25.0%)
14.Sg PP......15 (23.4%)

Seeded within 1 (entire field)(max=64)

1. Creme......55 (85.9%)
2. Palm.......54 (84.4%)
3. labcoatguy.51 (79.7%)
4. S-Factor...49 (76.6%)
4. Wobus......49 (76.6%)
6. Sg ELO C...48 (75.0%)
7. RPI........47 (73.4%)
8. Fennelly...45 (70.3%)
9. WDC(O).....44 (68.8%)
9. Sagarin....44 (68.8%)
9. Sg PP......44 (68.8%)
12.WDC(M).....43 (67.2%)
12.KRACH......43 (67.2%)
14.Massey.....41 (64.1%)

Correctly Seeded (Seeds 1-12)(max=48)

1. Creme......25 (52.1%)
2. labcoatguy.22 (45.8%)
3. S-Factor...21 (43.8%)
4. RPI........20 (41.7%)
5. WDC(M).....19 (39.6%)
6. Wobus......17 (35.4%)
6. Sagarin....17 (35.4%)
6. Palm.......17 (35.4%)
9. KRACH......16 (33.3%)
9. Fennelly...16 (33.3%)
11.WDC(O).....15 (31.3%)
11.Massey.....15 (31.3%)
13.Sg PP......12 (25.0%)
14.Sg ELO C...11 (22.9%)

Seeded within 1 (seeds 1-12)(max=48)

1. Palm.......40 (83.3%)
2. Creme......39 (81.3%)
3. labcoatguy.37 (77.1%)
4. S-Factor...35 (72.9%)
5. Wobus......34 (70.8%)
5. Sg ELO C...34 (70.8%)
7. RPI........32 (66.7%)
7. Fennelly...32 (66.7%)
9. Sagarin....31 (64.6%)
10.Sg PP......30 (62.5%)
11.WDC(O).....29 (60.4%)
11.KRACH......29 (60.4%)
13.WDC(M).....28 (58.3%)
14.Massey.....27 (56.3%)

Correctly Seeded (Seeds 1-6)(max=24)

1. Creme......18 (75.0%)
2. labcoatguy.16 (66.7%)
3. S-Factor...14 (58.3%)
3. WDC(M).....14 (58.3%)
3. Wobus......14 (58.3%)
3. Palm.......14 (58.3%)
7. RPI........13 (54.2%)
7. WDC(O).....13 (54.2%)
7. Massey.....13 (54.2%)
10.AP Poll....12 (50.0%)
10.Coaches'...12 (50.0%)
10.KRACH......12 (50.0%)
10.Fennelly...12 (50.0%)
14.Sagarin....11 (45.9%)
15.Sg ELO C...9 (37.5%)
15.Sg PP......9 (37.5%)

Seeded within 1 (seeds 1-6)(max=24)

1. Creme......23 (95.8%)
2. Palm.......22 (91.7%)
3. WDC(O).....21 (87.5%)
3. AP Poll....21 (87.5%)
3. labcoatguy.21 (87.5%)
6. S-Factor...20 (83.3%)
6. WDC(M).....20 (83.3%)
6. RPI........20 (83.3%)
6. Sg ELO C...20 (83.3%)
6. Coaches'...20 (83.3%)
6. Fennelly...20 (83.3%)
12.Wobus......19 (79.2%)
12.Sagarin....19 (79.2%)
14.Massey.....17 (70.8%)
14.KRACH......17 (70.8%)
14.Sg PP......17 (70.8%)