The Temple Owls and the South Florida Bulls both edged up into the top 25 of RPI a little unexpectedly this weekend. This change meant that instead of Connecticut having just one more scheduled top 25 game in their season (tonight's showdown against South Carolina), the Huskies now have three, and this was enough to drop Connecticut (through no fault of their own) down to the fifth ranked team in the College Women's Hoops S-Factor. I believe this will only be a temporary drop.
Last 4 in:
Harvard
Northern Iowa
Indiana
Northwestern
First 4 out:
Elon
Penn State
Michigan State
Georgetown
Now in:
Harvard
James Madison
Indiana
Now out:
Elon
Michigan State
California
Conferences with multiple bids:
SEC: 8
(1) Mississippi State
(1) South Carolina
(3) Texas A&M
(5) Tennessee
(5) Kentucky
(6) Missouri
(7) LSU
(8) Auburn
ACC: 7
(1) Notre Dame
(2) Florida State
(3) Duke
(4) North Carolina State
(4) Louisville
(6) Syracuse
(6) Miami (FL)
Pac 12: 6
(1) Oregon State
(2) Stanford
(3) Washington
(4) UCLA
(7) Arizona State
(8) Oregon
Big Ten: 5
(4) Maryland
(7) Ohio State
(9) Michigan
(10) Indiana
(11) Northwestern
Big 12: 5
(2) Baylor
(3) Texas
(5) Oklahoma
(6) Kansas State
(9) West Virginia
American: 3
(2) Connecticut
(7) Temple
(8) South Florida
Big East: 3
(5) DePaul
(8) Marquette
(9) Creighton
Missouri Valley: 2
(10) Northern Iowa
(11) Drake
Ivy: 2
(10) Harvard
(12) Pennsylvania
Predicting the NCAA Women's Basketball Tournament since 2008
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Showing posts with label RPI Chaos Theory. Show all posts
Showing posts with label RPI Chaos Theory. Show all posts
Monday, February 13, 2017
Monday, January 6, 2014
January 6 Update: UCLA Loses Two Games, North Carolina Drops Out
We are still at a point in the season where RPI rankings exhibit large swings with each unexpected win or loss. James Madison University was just a week ago ranked 42nd in RPI, but today after one loss they are ranked 63rd. The S-Factor had JMU in the tournament a week ago (RPI 42 is usually on the cusp of an at-large berth), but they dropped out after their loss to North Carolina.
James Madison's Gulf Coast Showcase first round opponent UCLA was just a week ago ranked 24th, but today after two losses, they are 53rd. The Bruins went from being a top-25 team to a sub-50 team, which matters to the S-Factor because wins over opponents in the top-50 and the top-25 are worth more.
North Carolina had wins over both James Madison and UCLA on their books, which used to give them two top-25 wins and three top-50 wins. But then UCLA lost two games, and now the Tar Heels' only top 50 win is against South Carolina. That puts them out of the tournament for now, but playing in the stacked ACC will give them plenty more opportunities to score meaningful wins. Of course, the Tar Heels could have had another top-50 win to partially offset the RPI drop of their opponents this weekend, but they lost to Maryland at home.
This has been this week's installment of "How Could My Team Have Fallen So Far In Your Stupid Rankings?"
Now in:
Penn State
Auburn
Florida
USC
Washington
George Washington
Creighton
Central Arkansas
Now out:
North Carolina
Oklahoma
Marquette
Oregon
Minnesota
Georgia Tech
DePaul
Northwestern State
Conferences with multiple bids:
SEC: 9
Big Ten: 6
PAC 12: 6
ACC: 6
Big 12: 4
West Coast: 3
American: 3
Big East: 2
Atlantic 10: 2
James Madison's Gulf Coast Showcase first round opponent UCLA was just a week ago ranked 24th, but today after two losses, they are 53rd. The Bruins went from being a top-25 team to a sub-50 team, which matters to the S-Factor because wins over opponents in the top-50 and the top-25 are worth more.
North Carolina had wins over both James Madison and UCLA on their books, which used to give them two top-25 wins and three top-50 wins. But then UCLA lost two games, and now the Tar Heels' only top 50 win is against South Carolina. That puts them out of the tournament for now, but playing in the stacked ACC will give them plenty more opportunities to score meaningful wins. Of course, the Tar Heels could have had another top-50 win to partially offset the RPI drop of their opponents this weekend, but they lost to Maryland at home.
This has been this week's installment of "How Could My Team Have Fallen So Far In Your Stupid Rankings?"
Now in:
Penn State
Auburn
Florida
USC
Washington
George Washington
Creighton
Central Arkansas
Now out:
North Carolina
Oklahoma
Marquette
Oregon
Minnesota
Georgia Tech
DePaul
Northwestern State
Conferences with multiple bids:
SEC: 9
Big Ten: 6
PAC 12: 6
ACC: 6
Big 12: 4
West Coast: 3
American: 3
Big East: 2
Atlantic 10: 2
Labels:
2014,
Gulf Coast Showcase,
James Madison,
North Carolina,
RPI Chaos Theory,
UCLA
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